Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.021379 0.023027 0.024743 0.026663 0.028753 0.030962 0.033475
2025-12-14 0.018462 0.020804 0.023368 0.026390 0.029863 0.033739 0.038404
2025-12-21 0.016710 0.019469 0.022605 0.026448 0.031048 0.036401 0.043132
2025-12-28 0.015310 0.018319 0.021846 0.026305 0.031825 0.038472 0.047141
2026-01-04 0.014250 0.017443 0.021283 0.026273 0.032629 0.040517 0.051141
2026-01-11 0.013430 0.016773 0.020887 0.026363 0.033524 0.042654 0.055317
2026-01-18 0.012703 0.016155 0.020490 0.026388 0.034286 0.044611 0.059320
2026-01-25 0.012126 0.015680 0.020229 0.026547 0.035195 0.046768 0.063681
2026-02-01 0.011449 0.015027 0.019686 0.026275 0.035478 0.048057 0.066875
2026-02-08 0.010783 0.014346 0.019060 0.025841 0.035486 0.048935 0.069494
2026-02-15 0.010267 0.013839 0.018637 0.025650 0.035806 0.050241 0.072782
2026-02-22 0.009769 0.013329 0.018177 0.025374 0.035973 0.051312 0.075752
2026-03-01 0.009316 0.012875 0.017796 0.025218 0.036349 0.052773 0.079517
2026-03-08 0.008872 0.012415 0.017384 0.024998 0.036618 0.054093 0.083162
2026-03-15 0.008547 0.012108 0.017173 0.025058 0.037303 0.056072 0.087974
2026-03-22 0.008193 0.011739 0.016851 0.024925 0.037671 0.057561 0.092066
2026-03-29 0.007893 0.011435 0.016607 0.024894 0.038187 0.059301 0.096671
2026-04-05 0.007645 0.011196 0.016447 0.024979 0.038884 0.061359 0.101942
2026-04-12 0.007398 0.010946 0.016257 0.025003 0.039475 0.063262 0.107055
2026-04-19 0.007197 0.010758 0.016152 0.025152 0.040272 0.065546 0.112990
2026-04-26 0.006914 0.010428 0.015810 0.024897 0.040370 0.066631 0.116803
2026-05-03 0.006613 0.010059 0.015388 0.024488 0.040181 0.067196 0.119674
2026-05-10 0.006381 0.009789 0.015113 0.024308 0.040373 0.068436 0.123890